Victor Davis Hanson, a senior contributor to The Daily Signal, discussed recent overseas activity in Israel, Brazil, and British Columbia, highlighting the inaccuracy of polls in these regions. In British Columbia, the Conservatives achieved an overwhelming parliamentary vote, taking control of the government for the first time in nearly a century, despite polls suggesting a potential conservative surge but not a tidal wave.
Hanson noted that the polls were also wrong in Brazil, where Flávio Bolsonaro was expected to win, but the election was allegedly influenced by the extension of polling hours in certain areas. Hanson also mentioned the Israeli election, where Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's party performed better than expected, but his opponents have said they will not form a coalition with certain Arab parties, making the formation of a government challenging.
The common theme among these cases is the inaccuracy of pollsters, which Hanson believes could have implications for the US midterm elections. According to Hanson, if the polls are wrong by a similar margin as in previous elections, the Republicans could potentially hold the Senate and limit their House losses to 15 seats, which is a relatively small loss compared to the 60 seats lost by Barack Obama's party in his first midterm election.
Hanson's comments were recorded before the US midterm election results were announced. The outcome of these elections and the implications of the pollsters' inaccuracy remain to be seen.